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Warriors at Thunder · Thu, Apr 8 · 9:30 PM ET

Golden State at Oklahoma City. Here is where each team has the edge.

Golden StateOklahoma City

9:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Warriors edges

No clear mismatch in Golden State's favor.

Thunder edges

  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense forces turnovers (2nd) against a Golden State offense that turns it over (27th).
  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense defends without fouling (3rd) against a Golden State offense that rarely gets to the line (23rd).

Key battles

  • Oklahoma City's offense protects the ball (2nd), but Golden State's defense forces turnovers (4th). Watch the turnovers.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
GSWRankStatRankOKC
115.818thOffensive rating7th119.8
116.417thDefensive rating1st108.5
-0.620thNet rating1st+11.2
98.318thPace16th98.5
54.913thEffective FG %4th56.1
13.327thTurnover %2nd10.8
25.814thOffensive rebound %28th22.3
19.223rdFree throw rate13th21.3
55.320thOpponent eFG %2nd51.9
13.54thForced turnover %2nd14.0
72.922ndDefensive rebound %11th74.4
19.812thOpponent FT rate3rd18.4

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Warriors2-8 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

Thunder6-4 in the last 10

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Tue, Nov 11 GSW 102, OKC 126 · Tue, Dec 2 OKC 124, GSW 112 · Fri, Jan 2 OKC 131, GSW 94 · Sat, Mar 7 GSW 97, OKC 104

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers