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Mavericks at Bucks · Mon, Mar 29 · 8:00 PM ET

Dallas at Milwaukee. Here is where each team has the edge.

DallasMilwaukee

8:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Mavericks edges

  • On defenseDallas' defense defends without fouling (2nd) against a Milwaukee offense that rarely gets to the line (30th).

Bucks edges

No clear mismatch in Milwaukee's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
DALRankStatRankMIL
111.927thOffensive rating23rd113.9
117.320thDefensive rating27th120.2
-5.423rdNet rating25th-6.4
101.14thPace23rd96.8
52.727thEffective FG %3rd56.5
12.114thTurnover %27th13.3
23.226thOffensive rebound %30th21.1
21.79thFree throw rate30th16.3
54.618thOpponent eFG %25th55.8
10.928thForced turnover %25th11.1
74.115thDefensive rebound %15th74.1
18.32ndOpponent FT rate19th21.5

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Mavericks3-7 in the last 10

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

Bucks3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Mon, Nov 10 MIL 116, DAL 114 · Tue, Mar 31 DAL 99, MIL 123

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers