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Raptors at Warriors · Thu, Mar 25 · 10:00 PM ET

Toronto at Golden State. Here is where each team has the edge.

TorontoGolden State

10:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Raptors edges

  • On defenseToronto's defense forces turnovers (4th) against a Golden State offense that turns it over (27th).

Warriors edges

No clear mismatch in Golden State's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
TORRankStatRankGSW
117.015thOffensive rating18th115.8
114.15thDefensive rating17th116.4
+2.911thNet rating20th-0.6
97.522ndPace18th98.3
54.615thEffective FG %13th54.9
11.57thTurnover %27th13.3
25.516thOffensive rebound %14th25.8
20.417thFree throw rate23rd19.2
54.07thOpponent eFG %20th55.3
13.54thForced turnover %4th13.5
74.018thDefensive rebound %22nd72.9
22.225thOpponent FT rate12th19.8

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Raptors5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W

Warriors2-8 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Sun, Dec 28 GSW 127, TOR 141 · Tue, Jan 20 TOR 145, GSW 127

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers