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Thunder at Suns · Wed, Mar 24 · 10:00 PM ET

Oklahoma City at Phoenix. Here is where each team has the edge.

Oklahoma CityPhoenix

10:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Thunder edges

  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense defends without fouling (3rd) against a Phoenix offense that rarely gets to the line (28th).

Suns edges

No clear mismatch in Phoenix's favor.

Key battles

  • Oklahoma City's offense protects the ball (2nd), but Phoenix's defense forces turnovers (3rd). Watch the turnovers.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
OKCRankStatRankPHX
119.87thOffensive rating16th116.5
108.51stDefensive rating10th115.0
+11.21stNet rating15th+1.5
98.516thPace24th96.3
56.14thEffective FG %19th53.7
10.82ndTurnover %12th12.0
22.328thOffensive rebound %7th28.9
21.313thFree throw rate28th17.6
51.92ndOpponent eFG %10th54.1
14.02ndForced turnover %3rd13.9
74.411thDefensive rebound %27th71.9
18.43rdOpponent FT rate22nd21.7

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Thunder6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Suns3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

2025-26 series: Fri, Nov 28 PHX 119, OKC 123 · Wed, Dec 10 PHX 89, OKC 138 · Sun, Jan 4 OKC 105, PHX 108 · Wed, Feb 11 OKC 136, PHX 109 · Sun, Apr 12 PHX 135, OKC 103 · Sun, Apr 19 PHX 84, OKC 119 · Wed, Apr 22 PHX 107, OKC 120 · Sat, Apr 25 OKC 121, PHX 109 · Mon, Apr 27 OKC 131, PHX 122

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers