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Wizards at Mavericks · Thu, Mar 11 · 8:00 PM ET

Washington at Dallas. Here is where each team has the edge.

WashingtonDallas

8:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Wizards edges

No clear mismatch in Washington's favor.

Mavericks edges

  • On defenseDallas' defense defends without fouling (2nd) against a Washington offense that rarely gets to the line (27th).

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
WASRankStatRankDAL
111.629thOffensive rating27th111.9
123.430thDefensive rating20th117.3
-11.830thNet rating23rd-5.4
100.85thPace4th101.1
53.521stEffective FG %27th52.7
13.226thTurnover %14th12.1
24.121stOffensive rebound %26th23.2
18.027thFree throw rate9th21.7
56.327thOpponent eFG %18th54.6
11.222ndForced turnover %28th10.9
70.230thDefensive rebound %15th74.1
23.229thOpponent FT rate2nd18.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Wizards0-10 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

Mavericks3-7 in the last 10

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

2025-26 series: Fri, Oct 24 WAS 117, DAL 107 · Sat, Nov 8 DAL 111, WAS 105

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers