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Hawks at Timberwolves · Wed, Mar 10 · 9:30 PM ET

Atlanta at Minnesota. Here is where each team has the edge.

AtlantaMinnesota

9:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Hawks edges

No clear mismatch in Atlanta's favor.

Timberwolves edges

No clear mismatch in Minnesota's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
ATLRankStatRankMIN
117.114thOffensive rating12th117.6
114.79thDefensive rating8th114.3
+2.412thNet rating10th+3.3
100.77thPace9th99.8
55.410thEffective FG %6th55.9
11.79thTurnover %18th12.4
24.420thOffensive rebound %15th25.7
18.126thFree throw rate10th21.5
54.618thOpponent eFG %5th52.9
13.26thForced turnover %14th12.4
74.59thDefensive rebound %20th73.7
20.615thOpponent FT rate24th22.0

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Hawks3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Timberwolves5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Wed, Dec 31 MIN 102, ATL 126 · Mon, Feb 9 ATL 116, MIN 138

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers