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Magic at Heat · Wed, Mar 10 · 7:00 PM ET

Orlando at Miami. Here is where each team has the edge.

OrlandoMiami

7:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Magic edges

No clear mismatch in Orlando's favor.

Heat edges

No clear mismatch in Miami's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
ORLRankStatRankMIA
115.619thOffensive rating13th117.5
115.010thDefensive rating12th115.2
+0.617thNet rating13th+2.3
99.312thPace1st102.8
53.125thEffective FG %17th54.2
12.012thTurnover %4th11.2
25.018thOffensive rebound %17th25.4
24.91stFree throw rate14th21.2
54.516thOpponent eFG %7th54.0
12.611thForced turnover %17th12.2
75.65thDefensive rebound %8th74.9
22.326thOpponent FT rate9th19.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Magic4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Wed, Oct 22 MIA 121, ORL 125 · Fri, Dec 5 MIA 105, ORL 106 · Tue, Dec 9 MIA 108, ORL 117 · Wed, Jan 28 ORL 133, MIA 124 · Sat, Mar 14 ORL 121, MIA 117

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers