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Spurs at Nuggets · Wed, Mar 3 · 10:00 PM ET

San Antonio at Denver. Here is where each team has the edge.

San AntonioDenver

10:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Spurs edges

  • On offenseSan Antonio's offense protects the ball (4th) against a Denver defense that rarely forces turnovers (30th).
  • On defenseSan Antonio's defense cleans the defensive glass (1st) against a Denver offense that rarely gets second chances (24th).

Nuggets edges

  • On offenseDenver's offense protects the ball (3rd) against a San Antonio defense that rarely forces turnovers (26th).

Key battles

  • Denver's offense shoots efficiently (1st), but San Antonio's defense contests every shot (3rd). Watch the shooting.
  • Denver's offense gets to the line (4th), but San Antonio's defense defends without fouling (1st). Watch the free throws.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
SASRankStatRankDEN
120.54thOffensive rating1st123.4
112.23rdDefensive rating21st118.2
+8.42ndNet rating7th+5.2
99.113thPace20th97.7
55.96thEffective FG %1st57.7
11.24thTurnover %3rd10.9
26.210thOffensive rebound %24th23.6
21.510thFree throw rate4th23.7
52.23rdOpponent eFG %14th54.3
11.026thForced turnover %30th10.0
77.31stDefensive rebound %7th75.3
18.01stOpponent FT rate10th19.6

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Spurs4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

Nuggets6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Fri, Nov 28 SAS 139, DEN 136 · Thu, Mar 12 DEN 136, SAS 131 · Sat, Apr 4 SAS 134, DEN 136 · Sun, Apr 12 DEN 128, SAS 118

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers