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Celtics at Pacers · Tue, Mar 2 · 7:00 PM ET

Boston at Indiana. Here is where each team has the edge.

BostonIndiana

7:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Celtics edges

  • On defenseBoston's defense cleans the defensive glass (4th) against an Indiana offense that rarely gets second chances (29th).
  • On defenseBoston's defense contests every shot (4th) against an Indiana offense that struggles to shoot (23rd).

Pacers edges

No clear mismatch in Indiana's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
BOSRankStatRankIND
121.72ndOffensive rating28th111.7
113.54thDefensive rating24th119.6
+8.23rdNet rating26th-7.9
94.230thPace8th100.3
55.311thEffective FG %23rd53.3
10.51stTurnover %16th12.3
29.26thOffensive rebound %29th21.7
16.729thFree throw rate22nd19.6
52.34thOpponent eFG %24th55.6
11.026thForced turnover %22nd11.2
75.74thDefensive rebound %15th74.1
18.95thOpponent FT rate23rd21.8

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Celtics5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L

Pacers3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Mon, Dec 22 IND 95, BOS 103 · Fri, Dec 26 BOS 140, IND 122 · Mon, Jan 12 BOS 96, IND 98 · Wed, Jan 21 IND 104, BOS 119

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers