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Celtics at Timberwolves · Sun, Feb 28 · 7:00 PM ET

Boston at Minnesota. Here is where each team has the edge.

BostonMinnesota

7:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Celtics edges

No clear mismatch in Boston's favor.

Timberwolves edges

No clear mismatch in Minnesota's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
BOSRankStatRankMIN
121.72ndOffensive rating12th117.6
113.54thDefensive rating8th114.3
+8.23rdNet rating10th+3.3
94.230thPace9th99.8
55.311thEffective FG %6th55.9
10.51stTurnover %18th12.4
29.26thOffensive rebound %15th25.7
16.729thFree throw rate10th21.5
52.34thOpponent eFG %5th52.9
11.026thForced turnover %14th12.4
75.74thDefensive rebound %20th73.7
18.95thOpponent FT rate24th22.0

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Celtics5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L

Timberwolves5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Sat, Nov 29 BOS 115, MIN 119 · Sun, Mar 22 MIN 102, BOS 92

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers