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Thunder at Pistons · Sat, Feb 27 · 5:30 PM ET

Oklahoma City at Detroit. Here is where each team has the edge.

Oklahoma CityDetroit

5:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Thunder edges

No clear mismatch in Oklahoma City's favor.

Pistons edges

No clear mismatch in Detroit's favor.

Key battles

  • Detroit's offense gets to the line (5th), but Oklahoma City's defense defends without fouling (3rd). Watch the free throws.
  • Oklahoma City's offense shoots efficiently (4th), but Detroit's defense contests every shot (1st). Watch the shooting.
  • Oklahoma City's offense protects the ball (2nd), but Detroit's defense forces turnovers (1st). Watch the turnovers.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
OKCRankStatRankDET
119.87thOffensive rating9th119.0
108.51stDefensive rating2nd110.8
+11.21stNet rating3rd+8.2
98.516thPace18th98.3
56.14thEffective FG %15th54.6
10.82ndTurnover %16th12.3
22.328thOffensive rebound %3rd30.9
21.313thFree throw rate5th22.3
51.92ndOpponent eFG %1st51.7
14.02ndForced turnover %1st14.1
74.411thDefensive rebound %14th74.2
18.43rdOpponent FT rate30th25.1

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Thunder6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Pistons6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Wed, Feb 25 OKC 116, DET 124 · Mon, Mar 30 DET 110, OKC 114

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers