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Celtics at Thunder · Wed, Feb 17 · 9:30 PM ET

Boston at Oklahoma City. Here is where each team has the edge.

BostonOklahoma City

9:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Celtics edges

  • On defenseBoston's defense cleans the defensive glass (4th) against an Oklahoma City offense that rarely gets second chances (28th).

Thunder edges

  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense defends without fouling (3rd) against a Boston offense that rarely gets to the line (29th).
  • On offenseOklahoma City's offense protects the ball (2nd) against a Boston defense that rarely forces turnovers (26th).

Key battles

  • Oklahoma City's offense shoots efficiently (4th), but Boston's defense contests every shot (4th). Watch the shooting.
  • Boston's offense protects the ball (1st), but Oklahoma City's defense forces turnovers (2nd). Watch the turnovers.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
BOSRankStatRankOKC
121.72ndOffensive rating7th119.8
113.54thDefensive rating1st108.5
+8.23rdNet rating1st+11.2
94.230thPace16th98.5
55.311thEffective FG %4th56.1
10.51stTurnover %2nd10.8
29.26thOffensive rebound %28th22.3
16.729thFree throw rate13th21.3
52.34thOpponent eFG %2nd51.9
11.026thForced turnover %2nd14.0
75.74thDefensive rebound %11th74.4
18.95thOpponent FT rate3rd18.4

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Celtics5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L

Thunder6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Thu, Mar 12 BOS 102, OKC 104 · Wed, Mar 25 OKC 109, BOS 119

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers