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Pacers at Thunder · Fri, Feb 5 · 9:30 PM ET

Indiana at Oklahoma City. Here is where each team has the edge.

IndianaOklahoma City

9:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Pacers edges

No clear mismatch in Indiana's favor.

Thunder edges

  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense contests every shot (2nd) against an Indiana offense that struggles to shoot (23rd).
  • On offenseOklahoma City's offense shoots efficiently (4th) against an Indiana defense that gives up good looks (24th).

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
INDRankStatRankOKC
111.728thOffensive rating7th119.8
119.624thDefensive rating1st108.5
-7.926thNet rating1st+11.2
100.38thPace16th98.5
53.323rdEffective FG %4th56.1
12.316thTurnover %2nd10.8
21.729thOffensive rebound %28th22.3
19.622ndFree throw rate13th21.3
55.624thOpponent eFG %2nd51.9
11.222ndForced turnover %2nd14.0
74.115thDefensive rebound %11th74.4
21.823rdOpponent FT rate3rd18.4

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Pacers3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Thunder6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Thu, Oct 23 OKC 141, IND 135 · Fri, Jan 23 IND 117, OKC 114

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers