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76ers at Heat · Sat, Jan 30 · 12:30 PM ET

Philadelphia at Miami. Here is where each team has the edge.

PhiladelphiaMiami

12:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

76ers edges

No clear mismatch in Philadelphia's favor.

Heat edges

No clear mismatch in Miami's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
PHIRankStatRankMIA
116.217thOffensive rating13th117.5
116.316thDefensive rating12th115.2
-0.218thNet rating13th+2.3
98.815thPace1st102.8
53.026thEffective FG %17th54.2
11.46thTurnover %4th11.2
26.210thOffensive rebound %17th25.4
22.26thFree throw rate14th21.2
54.110thOpponent eFG %7th54.0
12.88thForced turnover %17th12.2
72.526thDefensive rebound %8th74.9
21.218thOpponent FT rate9th19.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

76ers4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Sun, Nov 23 MIA 127, PHI 117 · Thu, Feb 26 MIA 117, PHI 124 · Mon, Mar 30 PHI 109, MIA 119

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers