Skip to content

Pistons at Mavericks · Fri, Jan 29 · 8:00 PM ET

Detroit at Dallas. Here is where each team has the edge.

DetroitDallas

8:00 PM ET
Loading
Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

Loading win probability…

01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Pistons edges

  • On defenseDetroit's defense contests every shot (1st) against a Dallas offense that struggles to shoot (27th).

Mavericks edges

No clear mismatch in Dallas' favor.

Key battles

  • Detroit's offense gets to the line (5th), but Dallas' defense defends without fouling (2nd). Watch the free throws.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
DETRankStatRankDAL
119.09thOffensive rating27th111.9
110.82ndDefensive rating20th117.3
+8.23rdNet rating23rd-5.4
98.318thPace4th101.1
54.615thEffective FG %27th52.7
12.316thTurnover %14th12.1
30.93rdOffensive rebound %26th23.2
22.35thFree throw rate9th21.7
51.71stOpponent eFG %18th54.6
14.11stForced turnover %28th10.9
74.214thDefensive rebound %15th74.1
25.130thOpponent FT rate2nd18.3

Game plan

Loading game plan…

03Form and season series

Pistons6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Mavericks3-7 in the last 10

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

2025-26 series: Sat, Nov 1 DAL 110, DET 122 · Thu, Dec 18 DET 114, DAL 116

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers