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Grizzlies at Thunder · Thu, Jan 28 · 8:00 PM ET

Memphis at Oklahoma City. Here is where each team has the edge.

MemphisOklahoma City

8:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Grizzlies edges

No clear mismatch in Memphis' favor.

Thunder edges

  • On offenseOklahoma City's offense shoots efficiently (4th) against a Memphis defense that gives up good looks (26th).
  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense contests every shot (2nd) against a Memphis offense that struggles to shoot (23rd).

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MEMRankStatRankOKC
113.525thOffensive rating7th119.8
119.523rdDefensive rating1st108.5
-6.024thNet rating1st+11.2
100.85thPace16th98.5
53.323rdEffective FG %4th56.1
12.722ndTurnover %2nd10.8
24.719thOffensive rebound %28th22.3
19.919thFree throw rate13th21.3
56.226thOpponent eFG %2nd51.9
12.88thForced turnover %2nd14.0
70.929thDefensive rebound %11th74.4
20.314thOpponent FT rate3rd18.4

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Grizzlies1-9 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

Thunder6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Sun, Nov 9 OKC 114, MEM 100 · Mon, Dec 22 MEM 103, OKC 119 · Fri, Jan 9 OKC 117, MEM 116

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers