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Bucks at Nuggets · Sat, Jan 23 · 9:00 PM ET

Milwaukee at Denver. Here is where each team has the edge.

MilwaukeeDenver

9:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Bucks edges

No clear mismatch in Milwaukee's favor.

Nuggets edges

  • On offenseDenver's offense shoots efficiently (1st) against a Milwaukee defense that gives up good looks (25th).
  • On offenseDenver's offense protects the ball (3rd) against a Milwaukee defense that rarely forces turnovers (25th).

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MILRankStatRankDEN
113.923rdOffensive rating1st123.4
120.227thDefensive rating21st118.2
-6.425thNet rating7th+5.2
96.823rdPace20th97.7
56.53rdEffective FG %1st57.7
13.327thTurnover %3rd10.9
21.130thOffensive rebound %24th23.6
16.330thFree throw rate4th23.7
55.825thOpponent eFG %14th54.3
11.125thForced turnover %30th10.0
74.115thDefensive rebound %7th75.3
21.519thOpponent FT rate10th19.6

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Bucks3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Nuggets6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Sun, Jan 11 MIL 104, DEN 108 · Fri, Jan 23 DEN 102, MIL 100

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers