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Heat at Spurs · Wed, Jan 20 · 9:30 PM ET

Miami at San Antonio. Here is where each team has the edge.

MiamiSan Antonio

9:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Heat edges

  • On offenseMiami's offense protects the ball (4th) against a San Antonio defense that rarely forces turnovers (26th).

Spurs edges

No clear mismatch in San Antonio's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MIARankStatRankSAS
117.513thOffensive rating4th120.5
115.212thDefensive rating3rd112.2
+2.313thNet rating2nd+8.4
102.81stPace13th99.1
54.217thEffective FG %6th55.9
11.24thTurnover %4th11.2
25.417thOffensive rebound %10th26.2
21.214thFree throw rate10th21.5
54.07thOpponent eFG %3rd52.2
12.217thForced turnover %26th11.0
74.98thDefensive rebound %1st77.3
19.39thOpponent FT rate1st18.0

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Spurs4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

2025-26 series: Thu, Oct 30 MIA 101, SAS 107 · Mon, Mar 23 SAS 136, MIA 111

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers