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Rockets at Timberwolves · Wed, Jan 20 · 8:00 PM ET

Houston at Minnesota. Here is where each team has the edge.

HoustonMinnesota

8:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Rockets edges

No clear mismatch in Houston's favor.

Timberwolves edges

No clear mismatch in Minnesota's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
HOURankStatRankMIN
119.68thOffensive rating12th117.6
114.27thDefensive rating8th114.3
+5.46thNet rating10th+3.3
95.229thPace9th99.8
54.217thEffective FG %6th55.9
12.620thTurnover %18th12.4
34.81stOffensive rebound %15th25.7
19.919thFree throw rate10th21.5
53.06thOpponent eFG %5th52.9
11.621stForced turnover %14th12.4
74.59thDefensive rebound %20th73.7
18.95thOpponent FT rate24th22.0

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Rockets5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W

Timberwolves5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Fri, Jan 16 MIN 105, HOU 110 · Wed, Mar 25 HOU 108, MIN 110 · Fri, Apr 10 MIN 136, HOU 132

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers