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Heat at Raptors · Fri, Jan 15 · 7:30 PM ET

Miami at Toronto. Here is where each team has the edge.

MiamiToronto

7:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Heat edges

No clear mismatch in Miami's favor.

Raptors edges

No clear mismatch in Toronto's favor.

Key battles

  • Miami's offense protects the ball (4th), but Toronto's defense forces turnovers (4th). Watch the turnovers.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MIARankStatRankTOR
117.513thOffensive rating15th117.0
115.212thDefensive rating5th114.1
+2.313thNet rating11th+2.9
102.81stPace22nd97.5
54.217thEffective FG %15th54.6
11.24thTurnover %7th11.5
25.417thOffensive rebound %16th25.5
21.214thFree throw rate17th20.4
54.07thOpponent eFG %7th54.0
12.217thForced turnover %4th13.5
74.98thDefensive rebound %18th74.0
19.39thOpponent FT rate25th22.2

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Raptors5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W

2025-26 series: Mon, Dec 15 TOR 106, MIA 96 · Tue, Dec 23 TOR 112, MIA 91 · Tue, Apr 7 MIA 95, TOR 121 · Thu, Apr 9 MIA 114, TOR 128

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers