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Heat at Knicks · Thu, Jan 14 · 7:30 PM ET

Miami at New York. Here is where each team has the edge.

MiamiNew York

7:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Heat edges

No clear mismatch in Miami's favor.

Knicks edges

No clear mismatch in New York's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MIARankStatRankNYK
117.513thOffensive rating3rd120.7
115.212thDefensive rating5th114.1
+2.313thNet rating5th+6.6
102.81stPace26th96.1
54.217thEffective FG %9th55.7
11.24thTurnover %7th11.5
25.417thOffensive rebound %5th29.3
21.214thFree throw rate25th18.8
54.07thOpponent eFG %10th54.1
12.217thForced turnover %10th12.7
74.98thDefensive rebound %2nd76.7
19.39thOpponent FT rate15th20.6

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Knicks9-1 in the last 10

  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Sun, Oct 26 NYK 107, MIA 115 · Fri, Nov 14 MIA 132, NYK 140 · Mon, Nov 17 NYK 113, MIA 115 · Sun, Dec 21 MIA 125, NYK 132

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers