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Nuggets at Bucks · Tue, Jan 12 · 8:00 PM ET

Denver at Milwaukee. Here is where each team has the edge.

DenverMilwaukee

8:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Nuggets edges

  • On offenseDenver's offense shoots efficiently (1st) against a Milwaukee defense that gives up good looks (25th).
  • On offenseDenver's offense protects the ball (3rd) against a Milwaukee defense that rarely forces turnovers (25th).

Bucks edges

No clear mismatch in Milwaukee's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
DENRankStatRankMIL
123.41stOffensive rating23rd113.9
118.221stDefensive rating27th120.2
+5.27thNet rating25th-6.4
97.720thPace23rd96.8
57.71stEffective FG %3rd56.5
10.93rdTurnover %27th13.3
23.624thOffensive rebound %30th21.1
23.74thFree throw rate30th16.3
54.314thOpponent eFG %25th55.8
10.030thForced turnover %25th11.1
75.37thDefensive rebound %15th74.1
19.610thOpponent FT rate19th21.5

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Nuggets6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Bucks3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Sun, Jan 11 MIL 104, DEN 108 · Fri, Jan 23 DEN 102, MIL 100

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers