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Pelicans at Heat · Sun, Jan 10 · 6:00 PM ET

New Orleans at Miami. Here is where each team has the edge.

New OrleansMiami

6:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Pelicans edges

No clear mismatch in New Orleans' favor.

Heat edges

No clear mismatch in Miami's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
NOPRankStatRankMIA
115.420thOffensive rating13th117.5
119.925thDefensive rating12th115.2
-4.521stNet rating13th+2.3
99.511thPace1st102.8
52.727thEffective FG %17th54.2
11.79thTurnover %4th11.2
27.08thOffensive rebound %17th25.4
22.26thFree throw rate14th21.2
55.522ndOpponent eFG %7th54.0
11.819thForced turnover %17th12.2
71.428thDefensive rebound %8th74.9
19.913thOpponent FT rate9th19.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Pelicans1-9 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Sun, Jan 4 NOP 106, MIA 125 · Wed, Feb 11 MIA 123, NOP 111

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers