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Grizzlies at Heat · Tue, Jan 5 · 7:30 PM ET

Memphis at Miami. Here is where each team has the edge.

MemphisMiami

7:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Grizzlies edges

No clear mismatch in Memphis' favor.

Heat edges

No clear mismatch in Miami's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MEMRankStatRankMIA
113.525thOffensive rating13th117.5
119.523rdDefensive rating12th115.2
-6.024thNet rating13th+2.3
100.85thPace1st102.8
53.323rdEffective FG %17th54.2
12.722ndTurnover %4th11.2
24.719thOffensive rebound %17th25.4
19.919thFree throw rate14th21.2
56.226thOpponent eFG %7th54.0
12.88thForced turnover %17th12.2
70.929thDefensive rebound %8th74.9
20.314thOpponent FT rate9th19.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Grizzlies1-9 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Fri, Oct 24 MIA 146, MEM 114 · Sat, Feb 21 MEM 120, MIA 136

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers