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Mavericks at Hawks · Sat, Jan 2 · 7:30 PM ET

Dallas at Atlanta. Here is where each team has the edge.

DallasAtlanta

7:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Mavericks edges

  • On defenseDallas' defense defends without fouling (2nd) against an Atlanta offense that rarely gets to the line (26th).

Hawks edges

No clear mismatch in Atlanta's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
DALRankStatRankATL
111.927thOffensive rating14th117.1
117.320thDefensive rating9th114.7
-5.423rdNet rating12th+2.4
101.14thPace7th100.7
52.727thEffective FG %10th55.4
12.114thTurnover %9th11.7
23.226thOffensive rebound %20th24.4
21.79thFree throw rate26th18.1
54.618thOpponent eFG %18th54.6
10.928thForced turnover %6th13.2
74.115thDefensive rebound %9th74.5
18.32ndOpponent FT rate15th20.6

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Mavericks3-7 in the last 10

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

Hawks3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Tue, Mar 10 DAL 112, ATL 124 · Wed, Mar 18 ATL 135, DAL 120

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers