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Mavericks at Rockets · Fri, Jan 1 · 8:30 PM ET

Dallas at Houston. Here is where each team has the edge.

DallasHouston

8:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Mavericks edges

No clear mismatch in Dallas' favor.

Rockets edges

No clear mismatch in Houston's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
DALRankStatRankHOU
111.927thOffensive rating8th119.6
117.320thDefensive rating7th114.2
-5.423rdNet rating6th+5.4
101.14thPace29th95.2
52.727thEffective FG %17th54.2
12.114thTurnover %20th12.6
23.226thOffensive rebound %1st34.8
21.79thFree throw rate19th19.9
54.618thOpponent eFG %6th53.0
10.928thForced turnover %21st11.6
74.115thDefensive rebound %9th74.5
18.32ndOpponent FT rate5th18.9

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Mavericks3-7 in the last 10

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

Rockets5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Mon, Nov 3 DAL 102, HOU 110 · Sat, Dec 6 HOU 109, DAL 122 · Sat, Jan 3 HOU 104, DAL 110 · Sat, Jan 31 DAL 107, HOU 111

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers