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Magic at Pacers · Thu, Dec 31 · 3:00 PM ET

Orlando at Indiana. Here is where each team has the edge.

OrlandoIndiana

3:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Magic edges

  • On defenseOrlando's defense cleans the defensive glass (5th) against an Indiana offense that rarely gets second chances (29th).
  • On offenseOrlando's offense gets to the line (1st) against an Indiana defense that sends opponents to the line (23rd).

Pacers edges

No clear mismatch in Indiana's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
ORLRankStatRankIND
115.619thOffensive rating28th111.7
115.010thDefensive rating24th119.6
+0.617thNet rating26th-7.9
99.312thPace8th100.3
53.125thEffective FG %23rd53.3
12.012thTurnover %16th12.3
25.018thOffensive rebound %29th21.7
24.91stFree throw rate22nd19.6
54.516thOpponent eFG %24th55.6
12.611thForced turnover %22nd11.2
75.65thDefensive rebound %15th74.1
22.326thOpponent FT rate23rd21.8

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Magic4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Pacers3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Wed, Dec 31 ORL 112, IND 110 · Sun, Jan 4 IND 127, ORL 135 · Mon, Mar 23 IND 128, ORL 126

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers