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Rockets at Warriors · Wed, Dec 30 · 10:00 PM ET

Houston at Golden State. Here is where each team has the edge.

HoustonGolden State

10:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Rockets edges

  • On defenseHouston's defense defends without fouling (5th) against a Golden State offense that rarely gets to the line (23rd).

Warriors edges

No clear mismatch in Golden State's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
HOURankStatRankGSW
119.68thOffensive rating18th115.8
114.27thDefensive rating17th116.4
+5.46thNet rating20th-0.6
95.229thPace18th98.3
54.217thEffective FG %13th54.9
12.620thTurnover %27th13.3
34.81stOffensive rebound %14th25.8
19.919thFree throw rate23rd19.2
53.06thOpponent eFG %20th55.3
11.621stForced turnover %4th13.5
74.59thDefensive rebound %22nd72.9
18.95thOpponent FT rate12th19.8

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Rockets5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W

Warriors2-8 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Wed, Nov 26 HOU 104, GSW 100 · Thu, Mar 5 GSW 115, HOU 113 · Sun, Apr 5 HOU 117, GSW 116

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers