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Timberwolves at Nuggets · Mon, Dec 28 · 10:30 PM ET

Minnesota at Denver. Here is where each team has the edge.

Timberwolves reportNuggets report

MinnesotaDenver

10:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Timberwolves edges

No clear mismatch in Minnesota's favor.

Nuggets edges

  • On offenseDenver's offense gets to the line (4th) against a Minnesota defense that sends opponents to the line (24th).

Key battles

  • Denver's offense shoots efficiently (1st), but Minnesota's defense contests every shot (5th). Watch the shooting.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MINRankStatRankDEN
117.612thOffensive rating1st123.4
114.38thDefensive rating21st118.2
+3.310thNet rating7th+5.2
99.89thPace20th97.7
55.96thEffective FG %1st57.7
12.418thTurnover %3rd10.9
25.715thOffensive rebound %24th23.6
21.510thFree throw rate4th23.7
52.95thOpponent eFG %14th54.3
12.414thForced turnover %30th10.0
73.720thDefensive rebound %7th75.3
22.024thOpponent FT rate10th19.6

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Timberwolves5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W

Nuggets6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Mon, Oct 27 DEN 127, MIN 114 · Sat, Nov 15 DEN 123, MIN 112 · Thu, Dec 25 MIN 138, DEN 142 · Sun, Mar 1 MIN 117, DEN 108 · Sat, Apr 18 MIN 105, DEN 116 · Mon, Apr 20 MIN 119, DEN 114 · Thu, Apr 23 DEN 96, MIN 113 · Sat, Apr 25 DEN 96, MIN 112 · Mon, Apr 27 MIN 113, DEN 125 · Thu, Apr 30 DEN 98, MIN 110

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers