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Pacers at Nuggets · Sun, Dec 27 · 8:00 PM ET

Indiana at Denver. Here is where each team has the edge.

IndianaDenver

8:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Pacers edges

No clear mismatch in Indiana's favor.

Nuggets edges

  • On offenseDenver's offense shoots efficiently (1st) against an Indiana defense that gives up good looks (24th).
  • On offenseDenver's offense gets to the line (4th) against an Indiana defense that sends opponents to the line (23rd).

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
INDRankStatRankDEN
111.728thOffensive rating1st123.4
119.624thDefensive rating21st118.2
-7.926thNet rating7th+5.2
100.38thPace20th97.7
53.323rdEffective FG %1st57.7
12.316thTurnover %3rd10.9
21.729thOffensive rebound %24th23.6
19.622ndFree throw rate4th23.7
55.624thOpponent eFG %14th54.3
11.222ndForced turnover %30th10.0
74.115thDefensive rebound %7th75.3
21.823rdOpponent FT rate10th19.6

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Pacers3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Nuggets6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Sat, Nov 8 IND 100, DEN 117 · Wed, Dec 3 DEN 135, IND 120

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers