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Bucks at Spurs · Mon, Dec 21 · 8:00 PM ET

Milwaukee at San Antonio. Here is where each team has the edge.

MilwaukeeSan Antonio

8:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Bucks edges

No clear mismatch in Milwaukee's favor.

Spurs edges

  • On defenseSan Antonio's defense cleans the defensive glass (1st) against a Milwaukee offense that rarely gets second chances (30th).
  • On defenseSan Antonio's defense defends without fouling (1st) against a Milwaukee offense that rarely gets to the line (30th).
  • On offenseSan Antonio's offense protects the ball (4th) against a Milwaukee defense that rarely forces turnovers (25th).

Key battles

  • Milwaukee's offense shoots efficiently (3rd), but San Antonio's defense contests every shot (3rd). Watch the shooting.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MILRankStatRankSAS
113.923rdOffensive rating4th120.5
120.227thDefensive rating3rd112.2
-6.425thNet rating2nd+8.4
96.823rdPace13th99.1
56.53rdEffective FG %6th55.9
13.327thTurnover %4th11.2
21.130thOffensive rebound %10th26.2
16.330thFree throw rate10th21.5
55.825thOpponent eFG %3rd52.2
11.125thForced turnover %26th11.0
74.115thDefensive rebound %1st77.3
21.519thOpponent FT rate1st18.0

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Bucks3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Spurs4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

2025-26 series: Thu, Jan 15 MIL 101, SAS 119 · Sat, Mar 28 SAS 127, MIL 95

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers