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Kings at Heat · Sun, Dec 20 · 6:00 PM ET

Sacramento at Miami. Here is where each team has the edge.

SacramentoMiami

6:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Kings edges

No clear mismatch in Sacramento's favor.

Heat edges

No clear mismatch in Miami's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
SACRankStatRankMIA
112.226thOffensive rating13th117.5
122.328thDefensive rating12th115.2
-10.128thNet rating13th+2.3
98.516thPace1st102.8
52.529thEffective FG %17th54.2
12.215thTurnover %4th11.2
25.913thOffensive rebound %17th25.4
19.821stFree throw rate14th21.2
57.229thOpponent eFG %7th54.0
11.819thForced turnover %17th12.2
73.521stDefensive rebound %8th74.9
21.621stOpponent FT rate9th19.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Kings3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Sat, Dec 6 SAC 127, MIA 111 · Tue, Jan 20 MIA 130, SAC 117

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers