Skip to content

Bucks at Rockets · Wed, Dec 16 · 8:30 PM ET

Milwaukee at Houston. Here is where each team has the edge.

MilwaukeeHouston

8:30 PM ET
Loading
Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

Loading win probability…

01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Bucks edges

No clear mismatch in Milwaukee's favor.

Rockets edges

  • On defenseHouston's defense defends without fouling (5th) against a Milwaukee offense that rarely gets to the line (30th).

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MILRankStatRankHOU
113.923rdOffensive rating8th119.6
120.227thDefensive rating7th114.2
-6.425thNet rating6th+5.4
96.823rdPace29th95.2
56.53rdEffective FG %17th54.2
13.327thTurnover %20th12.6
21.130thOffensive rebound %1st34.8
16.330thFree throw rate19th19.9
55.825thOpponent eFG %6th53.0
11.125thForced turnover %21st11.6
74.115thDefensive rebound %9th74.5
21.519thOpponent FT rate5th18.9

Game plan

Loading game plan…

03Form and season series

Bucks3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Rockets5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Sun, Nov 9 HOU 122, MIL 115 · Wed, Apr 1 MIL 113, HOU 119

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers