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Knicks at Heat · Sat, Dec 12 · 8:30 PM ET

New York at Miami. Here is where each team has the edge.

New YorkMiami

8:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Knicks edges

No clear mismatch in New York's favor.

Heat edges

No clear mismatch in Miami's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
NYKRankStatRankMIA
120.73rdOffensive rating13th117.5
114.15thDefensive rating12th115.2
+6.65thNet rating13th+2.3
96.126thPace1st102.8
55.79thEffective FG %17th54.2
11.57thTurnover %4th11.2
29.35thOffensive rebound %17th25.4
18.825thFree throw rate14th21.2
54.110thOpponent eFG %7th54.0
12.710thForced turnover %17th12.2
76.72ndDefensive rebound %8th74.9
20.615thOpponent FT rate9th19.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Knicks9-1 in the last 10

  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Sun, Oct 26 NYK 107, MIA 115 · Fri, Nov 14 MIA 132, NYK 140 · Mon, Nov 17 NYK 113, MIA 115 · Sun, Dec 21 MIA 125, NYK 132

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers