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Wizards at Heat · Thu, Dec 3 · 7:30 PM ET

Washington at Miami. Here is where each team has the edge.

WashingtonMiami

7:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Wizards edges

No clear mismatch in Washington's favor.

Heat edges

No clear mismatch in Miami's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
WASRankStatRankMIA
111.629thOffensive rating13th117.5
123.430thDefensive rating12th115.2
-11.830thNet rating13th+2.3
100.85thPace1st102.8
53.521stEffective FG %17th54.2
13.226thTurnover %4th11.2
24.121stOffensive rebound %17th25.4
18.027thFree throw rate14th21.2
56.327thOpponent eFG %7th54.0
11.222ndForced turnover %17th12.2
70.230thDefensive rebound %8th74.9
23.229thOpponent FT rate9th19.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Wizards0-10 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Sun, Feb 8 MIA 132, WAS 101 · Tue, Mar 10 WAS 129, MIA 150 · Sat, Apr 4 WAS 136, MIA 152 · Fri, Apr 10 MIA 140, WAS 117

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers