Skip to content

Hawks at Heat · Tue, Dec 1 · 7:30 PM ET

Atlanta at Miami. Here is where each team has the edge.

AtlantaMiami

7:30 PM ET
Loading
Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

Loading win probability…

01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Hawks edges

No clear mismatch in Atlanta's favor.

Heat edges

No clear mismatch in Miami's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
ATLRankStatRankMIA
117.114thOffensive rating13th117.5
114.79thDefensive rating12th115.2
+2.412thNet rating13th+2.3
100.77thPace1st102.8
55.410thEffective FG %17th54.2
11.79thTurnover %4th11.2
24.420thOffensive rebound %17th25.4
18.126thFree throw rate14th21.2
54.618thOpponent eFG %7th54.0
13.26thForced turnover %17th12.2
74.59thDefensive rebound %8th74.9
20.615thOpponent FT rate9th19.3

Game plan

Loading game plan…

03Form and season series

Hawks3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Fri, Dec 26 MIA 126, ATL 111 · Tue, Feb 3 ATL 127, MIA 115 · Fri, Feb 20 MIA 128, ATL 97 · Sun, Apr 12 ATL 117, MIA 143

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers