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Celtics at Mavericks · Mon, Nov 30 · 8:00 PM ET

Boston at Dallas. Here is where each team has the edge.

BostonDallas

8:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Celtics edges

  • On offenseBoston's offense protects the ball (1st) against a Dallas defense that rarely forces turnovers (28th).
  • On defenseBoston's defense contests every shot (4th) against a Dallas offense that struggles to shoot (27th).
  • On defenseBoston's defense cleans the defensive glass (4th) against a Dallas offense that rarely gets second chances (26th).

Mavericks edges

  • On defenseDallas' defense defends without fouling (2nd) against a Boston offense that rarely gets to the line (29th).

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
BOSRankStatRankDAL
121.72ndOffensive rating27th111.9
113.54thDefensive rating20th117.3
+8.23rdNet rating23rd-5.4
94.230thPace4th101.1
55.311thEffective FG %27th52.7
10.51stTurnover %14th12.1
29.26thOffensive rebound %26th23.2
16.729thFree throw rate9th21.7
52.34thOpponent eFG %18th54.6
11.026thForced turnover %28th10.9
75.74thDefensive rebound %15th74.1
18.95thOpponent FT rate2nd18.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Celtics5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L

Mavericks3-7 in the last 10

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

2025-26 series: Tue, Feb 3 BOS 110, DAL 100 · Fri, Mar 6 DAL 100, BOS 120

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers