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Thunder at Bucks · Sat, Nov 28 · 8:00 PM ET

Oklahoma City at Milwaukee. Here is where each team has the edge.

Oklahoma CityMilwaukee

8:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Thunder edges

  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense defends without fouling (3rd) against a Milwaukee offense that rarely gets to the line (30th).
  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense forces turnovers (2nd) against a Milwaukee offense that turns it over (27th).
  • On offenseOklahoma City's offense protects the ball (2nd) against a Milwaukee defense that rarely forces turnovers (25th).

Bucks edges

No clear mismatch in Milwaukee's favor.

Key battles

  • Milwaukee's offense shoots efficiently (3rd), but Oklahoma City's defense contests every shot (2nd). Watch the shooting.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
OKCRankStatRankMIL
119.87thOffensive rating23rd113.9
108.51stDefensive rating27th120.2
+11.21stNet rating25th-6.4
98.516thPace23rd96.8
56.14thEffective FG %3rd56.5
10.82ndTurnover %27th13.3
22.328thOffensive rebound %30th21.1
21.313thFree throw rate30th16.3
51.92ndOpponent eFG %25th55.8
14.02ndForced turnover %25th11.1
74.411thDefensive rebound %15th74.1
18.43rdOpponent FT rate19th21.5

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Thunder6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Bucks3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Wed, Jan 21 OKC 122, MIL 102 · Thu, Feb 12 MIL 110, OKC 93

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers