Skip to content

Thunder at Grizzlies · Fri, Nov 6 · 8:00 PM ET

Oklahoma City at Memphis. Here is where each team has the edge.

Oklahoma CityMemphis

8:00 PM ET
Loading
Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

Loading win probability…

01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Thunder edges

  • On offenseOklahoma City's offense shoots efficiently (4th) against a Memphis defense that gives up good looks (26th).
  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense contests every shot (2nd) against a Memphis offense that struggles to shoot (23rd).

Grizzlies edges

No clear mismatch in Memphis' favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
OKCRankStatRankMEM
119.87thOffensive rating25th113.5
108.51stDefensive rating23rd119.5
+11.21stNet rating24th-6.0
98.516thPace5th100.8
56.14thEffective FG %23rd53.3
10.82ndTurnover %22nd12.7
22.328thOffensive rebound %19th24.7
21.313thFree throw rate19th19.9
51.92ndOpponent eFG %26th56.2
14.02ndForced turnover %8th12.8
74.411thDefensive rebound %29th70.9
18.43rdOpponent FT rate14th20.3

Game plan

Loading game plan…

03Form and season series

Thunder6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Grizzlies1-9 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

2025-26 series: Sun, Nov 9 OKC 114, MEM 100 · Mon, Dec 22 MEM 103, OKC 119 · Fri, Jan 9 OKC 117, MEM 116

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers