Skip to content
Courtside

Suns at Trail Blazers · Wed, Oct 21 · 10:00 PM ET

Phoenix at Portland. Here is where each team has the edge.

Suns reportTrail Blazers report

PhoenixPortland

10:00 PM ET
Loading
Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

Loading win probability…

Model vs the line

Betting tools
POR win: books
59.3%
POR win: Courtside
53.5%
POR -4 covers
40.4%
POR win: Kalshi
60.1%
POR win: Polymarket
60.0%
Total (no model yet)
234

No lean on this game. Leans start once both teams have played 20 games, and then only when our number is well away from the books'. Early in the season a big gap usually means our model is behind. How leans work.

Consensus of 4 US sportsbooks, updated 5:40 PM ET. Build a parlay.

Bet it atDraftKingsFanDuelKalshiPolymarket

You log in and confirm at the book or exchange yourself. Courtside never sees your account.

Analysis, not advice. Our numbers are model estimates and can be wrong; no bet is a sure thing. 21+ and only where sports betting is legal. Set a budget you can afford to lose. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Suns edges

  • On defensePhoenix's defense forces turnovers (3rd) against a Portland offense that turns it over (30th).

Trail Blazers edges

  • On offensePortland's offense crashes the offensive glass (2nd) against a Phoenix defense that gives up second chances (27th).

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
PHXRankStatRankPOR
116.516thOffensive rating21st115.3
115.010thDefensive rating14th115.6
+1.515thNet rating19th-0.3
96.324thPace9th99.8
53.719thEffective FG %22nd53.4
12.012thTurnover %30th14.0
28.97thOffensive rebound %2nd31.3
17.628thFree throw rate12th21.4
54.110thOpponent eFG %10th54.1
13.93rdForced turnover %7th13.0
71.927thDefensive rebound %25th72.7
21.722ndOpponent FT rate19th21.5

Game plan

Loading game plan…

03Form and season series

Suns3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

Trail Blazers4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Tue, Nov 18 PHX 127, POR 110 · Tue, Feb 3 PHX 130, POR 125 · Sun, Feb 22 POR 92, PHX 77 · Tue, Apr 14 POR 114, PHX 110

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers